Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000623 0.000708 0.000798 0.000899 0.001011 0.001130 0.001266
2025-12-14 0.000485 0.000601 0.000733 0.000891 0.001076 0.001285 0.001536
2025-12-21 0.000404 0.000533 0.000685 0.000877 0.001109 0.001381 0.001718
2025-12-28 0.000362 0.000503 0.000676 0.000901 0.001184 0.001523 0.001956
2026-01-04 0.000325 0.000473 0.000662 0.000915 0.001242 0.001643 0.002167
2026-01-11 0.000286 0.000436 0.000634 0.000908 0.001269 0.001724 0.002330
2026-01-18 0.000253 0.000402 0.000606 0.000896 0.001288 0.001792 0.002475
2026-01-25 0.000231 0.000382 0.000595 0.000905 0.001333 0.001892 0.002664
2026-02-01 0.000210 0.000362 0.000581 0.000907 0.001368 0.001980 0.002837
2026-02-08 0.000182 0.000329 0.000546 0.000878 0.001357 0.002005 0.002926
2026-02-15 0.000160 0.000301 0.000517 0.000854 0.001351 0.002035 0.003021
2026-02-22 0.000145 0.000284 0.000501 0.000850 0.001372 0.002101 0.003166
2026-03-01 0.000132 0.000269 0.000489 0.000850 0.001399 0.002176 0.003326
2026-03-08 0.000119 0.000252 0.000472 0.000840 0.001411 0.002232 0.003461
2026-03-15 0.000106 0.000234 0.000453 0.000827 0.001417 0.002276 0.003579
2026-03-22 0.000101 0.000231 0.000457 0.000850 0.001478 0.002403 0.003817
2026-03-29 0.000095 0.000225 0.000456 0.000864 0.001525 0.002509 0.004028
2026-04-05 0.000087 0.000212 0.000442 0.000856 0.001538 0.002566 0.004167
2026-04-12 0.000078 0.000199 0.000427 0.000845 0.001544 0.002611 0.004290
2026-04-19 0.000073 0.000193 0.000423 0.000853 0.001582 0.002704 0.004485
2026-04-26 0.000068 0.000185 0.000417 0.000856 0.001610 0.002784 0.004662
2026-05-03 0.000059 0.000170 0.000393 0.000828 0.001587 0.002782 0.004715
2026-05-10 0.000052 0.000156 0.000374 0.000805 0.001571 0.002791 0.004785